Wednesday, December 8, 2021

Three Northern States PDP May Still Not Win In 2023 Elections

The PDP may want to project itself in the northern region again. But the political party may still not be able to win three out of the nineteen states in the larger region of the country. The current realities have explained that the PDP doesn’t have what it takes to win them.

It will be almost totally impossible for the PDP to claim Yobe State. Yes, the northeastern state has never embraced the PDP since 1999 when the Federal Republic of Nigeria got back to democracy. And no political miracle would happen to make the PDP claim the strategic state in the northeast.

The most convincing factor that would make it difficult for the PDP is the presence of top politicians in the APC. It appears that all the top personalities in Yobe politics are concentrated in the All Progressives Congress (APC). The current chairman of the party’s caretaker committee, Mai Mala Buni is the state governor.

It would have been easy for the PDP to claim the state. But the presence of Mr Ahmed Lawani (the Senate President) and Mr. Ibrahim Gaidam (former governor of the state) further weakens the PDP in Yobe State. Hence, the PDP may not be able to claim Yobe State.

Kano State is very important to any party that wants to lead the country. It is almost impossible to lose the state and still win the presidential election. The PDP began to lose the state in 2015 when Mr. Umar Ganduje was elected as the state governor. The same feat was repeated in 2019.

Of course, the APC has internal issue in the state. There is a clash of political interests among the top politicians. Mr. Ibrahim Shekarau is at loggerheads with the incumbent governor Ganduje. But the former governor has said that he wouldn’t leave the APC no matter what happens.

And to make it more worrisome for the opposition party, there has been no clear rapport between Mr Aminu Wali and former governor Rabiu Kwankwaso over the leadership of the PDP in Kano State.

Borno State is another state that the PDP has never won. And the party may still not win it. Based on the norms, the current governor, Babagana Zulum would want to throw his hat into the ring again. He would want to get the second term mandate.

Apart from that, the PDP could have used the influence of Ali Modu Sheriff, its former chairman to clinch the government secretariat at Maiduguri. However, it is unlucky for PDP because Ali Modu Sheriff is now jostling for the APC national chairman’s office.


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